Cherokee Horn Community Forum

Count your blessings...once in a while.

Here in the Metroplex we’re blessed to have an economy that is still holding up under the economic turmoil. One of the key reasons is the stimulus created by the Barnett Shale. It has brought in money and jobs at a very important time when other geographic areas of our country have been hard hit by widespread company layoffs and closures.

Just this week, on MSNBC.com Brett Johnson reported, ... Despite tough economic times nationally, Forbes Magazine named Fort Worth among the Top Five "Best Cities for Jobs." Fort Worth Mayor Moncrief credits the Barnett Shale as representing "an enormous advantage for our local economy.

Often we don’t think about the smaller one-industry communities such as Elkhart, Indiana that are really struggling because residents don’t have jobs. Do you think that if they had natural gas under their feet that they would be complaining?

It is amazing that in light of what could be happening in our area economically that some individuals still choose to complain about gas wells and complain about how much money they’re not getting in signing bonus income. Why not be a little thankful that the opportunity to exercise your mineral rights still exists? And, why not look at the bright side of royalty income instead of focusing on what has become the new lower initial bonus nation wide?

While your job may not directly depend upon the Barnett Shale, in many instances the shale is indirectly responsible for the success of many different types of local businesses. For instance, people are still going out to eat and still shopping. DFW citizens are still purchasing vehicles and homes. Earnings from natural gas production companies have not only placed money in the pockets of individual mineral owners, but they have also placed money in the hands of local charities in the area too.

So the next time you start to sound off against natural gas, count to ten and be thankful that our area is still blessed with bountiful resources and by comparison to other areas of the country, has continuing prosperity.

Making the Cut

What does it mean if you are notified that your home is not part of a preliminary pooling unit? Should you be concerned? What should you do?

If you have received a “cut-out” notice, it most likely means that your property is located in an area that has generally not responded to a company’s mineral leasing offers. Due to increased expense, companies prefer not to run horizontal pipe in zigzag patterns a mile beneath the surface as they would need to do in a “patchwork” area where leasing is very scattered.

After some point in time, the company makes the decision to stop wasting time and money to go after certain leases. When a resident receives a “preliminary pool unit cut-out” notice some homeowners who have been hanging back and holding out actually feel as though they have missed out. These people then call the gas production company and want to be included. Unfortunately, after making a diligent effort to acquire the lease, Cherokee Horn has already withdrawn the offer and ceased communication.

Will a homeowner who calls be allowed back into the preliminary pool unit? No. Their call does not change the situation that prompted the “cut-out” notice. Can anything change their cut-out status? Perhaps.

After a preliminary pool unit is formed, Cherokee Horn works with Titan to decide on the boundaries that would geologically feasible for drilling a mile and a half under the surface. Titan then goes to the Railroad Commission with their final pool unit boundaries for permit.

By now, if a homeowner who is “missing the boat” goes out and gets all of the neighbors on their street who haven’t signed to sign they still would not receive an offer from Cherokee Horn. They will be turned away.

Can that cut-out resident still collect royalties on the natural gas? Yes, but not in a timely manner and at their expense. There are also no signing bonuses.

Under the rules of “forced pooling,” these homeowners can petition the Texas Railroad Commission to be included in the final pool boundaries and they will be paid royalty income after all other expenses for drilling the well have been paid. This process is complex, involves your attorney, and becomes cost-prohibitive for properties under 1 acre.

In the worst turn of events, this is the end of the line for a hold-out.

If you would like to research the Railroad Commission's process, you can read up on Rule 37 and information on the Mineral Interest Pooling Act (MIPA).

Gas Well Production No Longer Drives Lease Bonus Pricing

Another blog has a post advising homeowners should hold out for higher lease bonus offers which will come in based on the production of wells that have been permitted to the east of the Cherokee Horn well sites. Unfortunately, the size of a well’s production is no longer the reason for paying a higher bonus.

As we’ve pointed out in a previous post, the overall driving force for pricing is supply and demand. Right now and into the foreseeable future, supply is going to outweigh demand. Although companies would rather drill and get a lot of natural gas for their efforts, the more gas that goes into our nation’s pipeline’s the lower the price will be for the gas going to market.

Gas companies wish as strongly as residents that this scenario could be different, which it would be if more natural gas were used as fuel for power plants and as fuel for vehicles in the United States. The only other factor would be to begin shipping America’s natural gas out of the country to meet foreign demand.

The other idea brought up in the CPANA post was that the production of these other wells would bring offers from other companies to compete with Cherokee’s offer. However, this is not how it works.

Even if a nearby gas well was the mother load of all gas wells, a company without drill sites in the area has no reason to come in and purchase high dollar mineral leases in the “backyard” of another company’s “territory”. If they don’t have a drill site, then the only thing they could hope to do is to try to sell those high dollar mineral leases to Cherokee Horn and we’re not buying.

Lack of competition is not the factor driving lower mineral lease pricing. Supply, not just in the Barnett Shale but in other shale areas and non-American sources, is the driving force for pricing.

Peak Bonuses and Neighborhood Coalitions

Over the weekend local news stories pointed out that although some economic downturns would be felt in the area that the economic outlook for North Texas in 2009 is better than most. For the gas industry that means that instead of all deals being off the table, companies such as Cherokee Horn are still making offers and going forward with plans to lease out areas that are relevant to drill sites that they currently own.

Based upon activity at the end of the year, it seems that residents are finally beginning to understand that holding out for five digit mineral lease offers is like trying to auction an item on Ebay with a reserve price so high that there are no takers.

At the beginning of the Barnett Shale discovery, gas companies were clamoring to get as much land in the area as possible, which drove prices up unrealistically high. When the Barnett Shale was the only shale, it created a frenzy. Just in one year, however, gas companies have a choice of more than 21 different shale discoveries in the US alone and with that broader perspective, there’s a lot of land to be had and at much more realistic prices. It was historical that the Barnett Shale was among the first to use the horizontal drilling (fracturing) technology. It was exciting to see some competitive bidding as companies put their hat in the ring to try the new technology. Remember, this shale discovery had been known about for years, but until recently we couldn't get the gas out and bring it to market with such a minimal impact.

The same companies that were upping the ante on residential property in the early days of the Barnett Shale were hedging their bets that the price of natural gas will remain high, and the Barnett would be profitable. Holding out these days doesn’t mean much now, or in the future, because a downturn like this will not just clear up and change like Texas weather.

Going forward, holdout groups are best served by working out the best deal that they can with the company or companies that actually have drill sites in their immediate area, because those are the companies that have the only interest at all in their property.

To this end, organized neighborhood groups serve a purpose when they can organize residents to sign with the company that has a drill site. This will speed up the process of actually drilling a well and having it produce clean-burning natural gas, which in turn leads to royalty checks to residents. For those who want to be part of this opportunity, we don't want you to get left out, so whether coming in in groups or individually, we want to be sure you're get to participate.

In today’s new gas economy just as in the old days, royalties are where the money is for landowners and bonuses are just that, a little something extra that comes with the deal. Anyone, who says otherwise, isn’t very attuned to the marketplace or the business of natural gas leasing.